Round 25 · simulation 9 · cycle-003.e4-bwa

Round 2021

Round 25 of 30 in simulation 9 of Botswana, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 3 actions, and the index +0.022 to 9.21.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2021 (the end of 2020) and as it left it.

Capability index: 9.21 (+0.021); In: 9.19
Rank by index: 56; In: 56
Domains at Tier 1: 0; In: 0
Credits carried: 521; In: 473

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	2.57	2.58	+0.003	12
Strategic Infrastructure	11.51	11.54	+0.030	4
National Security	5.70	5.70	+0.005	7
Human Capital	11.55	11.65	+0.099	5
Information & Influence	7.59	7.59	−0.001	8
Governance & Integrity	13.67	13.67	0.000	4
Financial Strength	11.27	11.27	+0.002	11
Production & Innovation	9.47	9.53	+0.067	9
Trade & Investment	9.36	9.36	−0.008	10

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2021: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 245, plus 473 carried in. Maintenance 181. Spent 15 on actions (build 15). 521 carried over.

BuildHealth System Capability5 credits for 0.20 levelsscripted_history
BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.20 levelsscripted_history
BuildEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history

The groups that moved most in 2021, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Invested	Graph
Technical & Vocational Skills	+0.44	+0.44	0.00
Advanced Education	+0.28	+0.28	0.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion	+0.23	+0.20	+0.03
Economic Output & Productivity	+0.21	+0.20	+0.02
Communications & Digital Infrastructure	+0.19	+0.18	0.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance	+0.08	+0.13	−0.05