Round 24 · simulation 10 · cycle-003.e4-chl

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 10 of Chile, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.456 to 9.58.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.58 (−0.456)
In: 10.04
Rank by index
50
In: 46
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 2
Credits carried
130
In: 143
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.953.64−0.31510 → 11
Strategic Infrastructure11.8811.63−0.2493
National Security7.076.83−0.2337
Human Capital13.1612.77−0.3891
Information & Influence7.937.33−0.6019 → 10
Governance & Integrity12.9512.69−0.2595 → 6
Financial Strength12.6612.05−0.6147 → 9
Production & Innovation9.919.28−0.6336
Trade & Investment10.8310.02−0.8141 → 2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 283, plus 143 carried in. Maintenance 238. Spent 58 on actions (build 58). 130 carried over.

  • BuildInternal Security & Order15 credits for 0.63 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management15 credits for 0.55 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability15 credits for 0.51 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance15 credits for 0.45 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −30.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 10 to 11; Information & Influence Tier 9 to 10; Governance & Integrity Tier 5 to 6; Financial Strength Tier 7 to 9; Trade & Investment Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.370.000.00−1.370.00
Labour & Employment−1.090.000.00−1.07−0.02
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.040.000.00−1.040.00
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−0.840.000.00−0.840.00
Export Capability & Sophistication−0.770.000.00−0.76−0.01
Global Value Chain Position−0.770.000.00−0.74−0.02