Round 24 · simulation 25 · cycle-003.e4-chn

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 25 of China, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 0 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.709 to 6.96.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.96 (−0.709)
In: 7.67
Rank by index
81
In: 71
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.796.02−0.7675
Strategic Infrastructure9.208.76−0.4364 → 5
National Security7.727.31−0.4184 → 5
Human Capital8.087.44−0.6459
Information & Influence7.526.61−0.91610 → 11
Governance & Integrity7.446.93−0.51514 → 15
Financial Strength6.145.39−0.75320 → 21
Production & Innovation7.436.63−0.80313 → 14
Trade & Investment8.737.61−1.1238 → 10

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 168. Maintenance 168 of the 172 needed, so 2 per cent of every group went unmaintained and decayed. Nothing spent on actions. 0 carried over. 10 actions could not be paid for.

  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −41.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 4 to 5; National Security Tier 4 to 5; Information & Influence Tier 10 to 11; Governance & Integrity Tier 14 to 15; Financial Strength Tier 20 to 21; Production & Innovation Tier 13 to 14; Trade & Investment Tier 8 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−1.750.00−0.01−1.75+0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.430.00−0.01−1.42−0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.380.00−0.01−1.38+0.01
Global Value Chain Position−1.300.00−0.01−1.28−0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication−1.260.00−0.01−1.23−0.02
Labour & Employment−1.190.000.00−1.17−0.01