Round 17 · simulation 12 · cycle-003.e4-egy

Round 2013

Round 17 of 30 in simulation 12 of Egypt, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, Legitimacy rupture, and the index −0.314 to 10.52.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2013 (the end of 2012) and as it left it.

Capability index
10.52 (−0.314)
In: 10.84
Rank by index
43
In: 37
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
977
In: 882
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.155.02−0.1299
Strategic Infrastructure12.9612.72−0.2423
National Security10.399.94−0.4494
Human Capital10.6510.50−0.1499
Information & Influence12.5512.01−0.5425
Governance & Integrity10.3610.15−0.2109 → 10
Financial Strength11.0110.42−0.58910 → 11
Production & Innovation10.5210.30−0.2266
Trade & Investment13.9213.63−0.2873 → 4

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2013: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 411, plus 882 carried in. Maintenance 284. Spent 33 on actions (build 33). 977 carried over.

  • BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation8 credits for 0.48 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildInternal Security & Order8 credits for 0.36 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights8 credits for 0.41 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management8 credits for 0.40 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −22.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 9 to 10; Financial Strength Tier 10 to 11; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2013, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Force Generation & Mobilisation−0.950.000.00−0.90−0.04
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.940.000.00−0.93−0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.920.000.00−0.92−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.840.000.00−0.83−0.01
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance−0.520.000.00−0.47−0.05
Land Power−0.500.000.00−0.45−0.05