Round 2023
Round 27 of 30 in simulation 12 of Egypt, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.152 to 10.03.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2023 (the end of 2022) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 10.03 (−0.152)
- In: 10.18
- Rank by index
- 47
- In: 45
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 631
- In: 587
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 4.80 | 4.79 | −0.010 | 8 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 14.08 | 13.91 | −0.163 | 1 |
| National Security | 9.53 | 9.27 | −0.258 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 10.38 | 10.44 | +0.060 | 8 → 7 |
| Information & Influence | 10.97 | 10.85 | −0.122 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 10.22 | 10.12 | −0.102 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 9.90 | 9.64 | −0.259 | 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 9.29 | 9.10 | −0.191 | 9 → 10 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.43 | 12.11 | −0.321 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2023: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 383, plus 587 carried in. Maintenance 300. Spent 40 on actions (partner 40). 631 carried over.
- PartnerPopulation Health8 credits for 0.39 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerHealth System Capability8 credits for 0.36 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure8 credits for 0.10 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerEnergy Technologies8 credits for 0.58 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerNational Resilience & Crisis Management8 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −13.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 8 to 7; Production & Innovation Tier 9 to 10.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | −0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.53 | −0.04 |
| Population Health | +0.53 | +0.57 | 0.00 | −0.07 | +0.04 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.40 | −0.07 |
| Health System Capability | +0.46 | +0.51 | 0.00 | −0.07 | +0.02 |
| Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment | −0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.47 | +0.02 |
| Maritime Power | −0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.44 | 0.00 |