Round 15 · simulation 8 · cycle-003.e4-egy

Round 2011

Round 15 of 30 in simulation 8 of Egypt, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, Legitimacy rupture, and the index −0.449 to 10.82.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2011 (the end of 2010) and as it left it.

Capability index
10.82 (−0.449)
In: 11.27
Rank by index
37
In: 35
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
878
In: 790
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.345.15−0.1888 → 9
Strategic Infrastructure13.2512.95−0.3003
National Security11.0510.41−0.6404
Human Capital10.8710.66−0.2149
Information & Influence13.3212.55−0.7703 → 5
Governance & Integrity10.7110.25−0.4609 → 10
Financial Strength11.9111.05−0.8569 → 10
Production & Innovation10.7610.49−0.2736
Trade & Investment14.2313.89−0.3383 → 4

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2011: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 429, plus 790 carried in. Maintenance 307. Spent 34 on actions (build 34). 878 carried over.

  • BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation9 credits for 0.50 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildInternal Security & Order9 credits for 0.37 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights9 credits for 0.41 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management9 credits for 0.42 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −32.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 8 to 9; Information & Influence Tier 3 to 5; Governance & Integrity Tier 9 to 10; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 10; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2011, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Monetary & Currency Capability−1.350.000.00−1.350.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.330.000.00−1.330.00
Force Generation & Mobilisation−1.320.000.00−1.31−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.210.000.00−1.21+0.01
Maritime Power−0.710.000.00−0.71+0.01
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations−0.700.000.00−0.700.00