Round 24 · simulation 8 · cycle-003.e4-egy

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 8 of Egypt, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 15 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.109 to 10.46.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
10.46 (−0.108)
In: 10.57
Rank by index
45
In: 43
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 0
Credits carried
583
In: 649
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.934.83−0.1059
Strategic Infrastructure13.9814.19+0.2042 → 1
National Security9.819.71−0.0985
Human Capital10.5510.48−0.07210
Information & Influence11.7911.53−0.2555 → 6
Governance & Integrity10.5710.45−0.1179
Financial Strength10.3910.32−0.06410
Production & Innovation9.919.69−0.2179
Trade & Investment13.2212.97−0.2554

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 397, plus 649 carried in. Maintenance 287. Spent 177 on actions (build 138, partner 39). 583 carried over.

  • BuildTransport Infrastructure20 credits for 0.31 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure20 credits for 0.52 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildWater, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure20 credits for 0.63 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure20 credits for 0.40 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildSocial Infrastructure20 credits for 0.65 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance8 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildMonetary & Currency Capability8 credits for 0.39 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFinancial System Depth & Access8 credits for 0.31 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPopulation Health8 credits for 0.44 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability8 credits for 0.35 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerPopulation Health8 credits for 0.41 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerHealth System Capability8 credits for 0.39 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure8 credits for 0.20 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerEnergy Technologies8 credits for 0.61 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerNational Resilience & Crisis Management8 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −12.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 2 to 1; Information & Influence Tier 5 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure+0.58+0.670.00−0.090.00
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.58+0.670.00−0.08−0.01
Social Infrastructure+0.51+0.690.00−0.18−0.01
Energy Infrastructure+0.45+0.550.00−0.09−0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.450.000.00−0.44−0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.410.000.00−0.45+0.03