Round 2022
Round 26 of 30 in simulation 8 of Egypt, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.351 to 10.17.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2022 (the end of 2021) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 10.17 (−0.351)
- In: 10.53
- Rank by index
- 45
- In: 43
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 624
- In: 582
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 4.89 | 4.80 | −0.085 | 8 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 14.42 | 14.06 | −0.356 | 1 |
| National Security | 9.71 | 9.51 | −0.199 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 10.62 | 10.39 | −0.229 | 9 |
| Information & Influence | 11.53 | 10.98 | −0.548 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 10.47 | 10.23 | −0.240 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 10.42 | 9.91 | −0.511 | 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 9.70 | 9.29 | −0.416 | 9 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.98 | 12.41 | −0.573 | 4 → 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2022: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 397, plus 582 carried in. Maintenance 316. Spent 39 on actions (partner 39). 624 carried over.
- PartnerPopulation Health8 credits for 0.39 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerHealth System Capability8 credits for 0.37 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure8 credits for 0.10 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerEnergy Technologies8 credits for 0.58 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerNational Resilience & Crisis Management8 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −28.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 4 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.93 | −0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.97 | +0.04 |
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | −0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.89 | +0.10 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.75 | +0.09 | 0.00 | −0.83 | −0.01 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −0.73 | +0.13 | 0.00 | −0.88 | +0.01 |
| Early Childhood Development | −0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.64 | +0.04 |