Round 24 · simulation 17 · cycle-003.e4-est

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 17 of Estonia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.426 to 10.30.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
10.30 (−0.426)
In: 10.72
Rank by index
44
In: 39
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.505.22−0.2826
Strategic Infrastructure10.8510.66−0.1954 → 5
National Security7.067.00−0.0605
Human Capital13.4012.91−0.4823
Information & Influence10.129.55−0.5693 → 4
Governance & Integrity15.3515.02−0.3311
Financial Strength12.1911.60−0.5996
Production & Innovation10.609.99−0.6126 → 7
Trade & Investment11.4410.73−0.7062 → 3

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 311. Maintenance 258. Spent 53 on actions (partner 53). 0 carried over. 1 action could not be paid for.

  • PartnerForce Generation & Mobilisation16 credits for 0.57 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerCyber & Electromagnetic Operations16 credits for 0.74 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerEnergy Infrastructure16 credits for 0.71 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerEnergy Technologies6 credits for 0.45 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −31.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 4 to 5; Information & Influence Tier 3 to 4; Production & Innovation Tier 6 to 7; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.290.000.00−1.290.00
Labour & Employment−1.100.000.00−1.090.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.050.000.00−1.050.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.980.000.00−0.99+0.01
Population Health−0.760.000.00−0.75−0.01
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−0.740.000.00−0.740.00