Round 26 · simulation 11 · cycle-003.e4-kaz

Round 2022

Round 26 of 30 in simulation 11 of Kazakhstan, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 8 actions, Legitimacy rupture and Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.341 to 7.23.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2022 (the end of 2021) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.23 (−0.341)
In: 7.57
Rank by index
77
In: 71
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
49
In: 46
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.083.94−0.1398
Strategic Infrastructure11.1110.86−0.2523
National Security5.795.38−0.4106
Human Capital9.309.18−0.11910
Information & Influence6.415.92−0.48211
Governance & Integrity7.437.11−0.31413
Financial Strength7.837.11−0.71918 → 20
Production & Innovation8.097.87−0.21810
Trade & Investment8.127.71−0.4189 → 11

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2022: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 187, plus 46 carried in. Maintenance 153. Spent 30 on actions (build 11, buy 19). 49 carried over.

  • BuyDigital & AI Competence4 credits for 0.20 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence4 credits for 0.44 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyInnovation & Commercialisation4 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyAdvanced Education4 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyDigital & Services Trade4 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability4 credits for 0.18 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPopulation Health4 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management4 credits for 0.21 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −20.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −16.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 18 to 20; Trade & Investment Tier 9 to 11.

The groups that moved most in 2022, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Monetary & Currency Capability−1.410.000.00−1.39−0.02
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.140.000.00−1.15+0.01
Force Generation & Mobilisation−1.090.000.00−1.05−0.04
Investment Attraction & Projection−0.800.000.00−0.800.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.700.000.00−0.70+0.01
Social Infrastructure−0.550.000.00−0.49−0.05