Round 19 · simulation 12 · cycle-003.e4-kaz

Round 2015

Round 19 of 30 in simulation 12 of Kazakhstan, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 10 actions, Global funding seizure and Market access opening, and the index −0.072 to 7.63.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2015 (the end of 2014) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.63 (−0.072)
In: 7.71
Rank by index
71
In: 71
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
211
In: 231
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.114.08−0.0309
Strategic Infrastructure10.5610.59+0.0304
National Security5.975.970.0006
Human Capital9.489.44−0.03910 → 11
Information & Influence6.926.86−0.06010
Governance & Integrity7.357.32−0.03516
Financial Strength8.778.43−0.33916 → 17
Production & Innovation7.637.61−0.02314
Trade & Investment8.568.40−0.1519

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2015: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 204, plus 231 carried in. Maintenance 153. Spent 71 on actions (build 71). 211 carried over.

  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base4 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAdvanced Manufacturing4 credits for 0.16 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTrade Policy & Market Access4 credits for 0.26 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildStructural Transformation & Complexity4 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTransport Infrastructure4 credits for 0.15 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTransport Infrastructure10 credits for 0.38 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure10 credits for 0.55 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration10 credits for 0.50 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTechnology Adoption & Diffusion10 credits for 0.76 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure10 credits for 0.34 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −8.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Upside event: Market access opening S12. +6.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 10 to 11; Financial Strength Tier 16 to 17.

The groups that moved most in 2015, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Investment Attraction & Projection−0.480.000.00−0.480.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.470.000.00−0.470.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.460.000.00−0.460.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.38+0.510.00−0.130.00
Financial System Depth & Access−0.330.000.00−0.330.00
Financial Regulation & Integrity−0.330.000.00−0.330.00