Round 24 · simulation 12 · cycle-003.e4-kaz

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 12 of Kazakhstan, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 13 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.367 to 7.52.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.52 (−0.367)
In: 7.89
Rank by index
72
In: 69
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
49
In: 92
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.284.03−0.2508
Strategic Infrastructure11.1610.99−0.1703
National Security5.975.78−0.1896
Human Capital9.669.22−0.43210
Information & Influence6.896.41−0.47810 → 11
Governance & Integrity7.607.37−0.23413
Financial Strength8.457.84−0.60717 → 18
Production & Innovation8.317.97−0.33911 → 10
Trade & Investment8.698.08−0.6079

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 199, plus 92 carried in. Maintenance 161. Spent 81 on actions (build 62, buy 20). 49 carried over.

  • BuildTransport Infrastructure10 credits for 0.32 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure10 credits for 0.46 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration10 credits for 0.42 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTechnology Adoption & Diffusion10 credits for 0.61 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure10 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyDigital & AI Competence4 credits for 0.22 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence4 credits for 0.48 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyInnovation & Commercialisation4 credits for 0.28 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyAdvanced Education4 credits for 0.18 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyDigital & Services Trade4 credits for 0.26 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability4 credits for 0.18 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPopulation Health4 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management4 credits for 0.22 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −29.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 10 to 11; Financial Strength Tier 17 to 18; Production & Innovation Tier 11 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.270.000.00−1.28+0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.100.000.00−1.15+0.05
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.810.000.00−0.820.00
Foundational Education−0.770.000.00−0.770.00
Labour & Employment−0.740.000.00−0.740.00
Investment Attraction & Projection−0.740.000.00−0.740.00