Round 11 · simulation 17 · cycle-003.e4-ken

Round 2007

Round 11 of 30 in simulation 17 of Kenya, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Legitimacy rupture, and the index −0.511 to 6.74.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2007 (the end of 2006) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.74 (−0.511)
In: 7.25
Rank by index
86
In: 77
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
132
In: 125
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.872.73−0.14412
Strategic Infrastructure8.658.34−0.3057
National Security5.524.88−0.6398
Human Capital8.177.98−0.18612
Information & Influence7.927.07−0.8588 → 10
Governance & Integrity8.097.50−0.59115
Financial Strength8.737.68−1.05617 → 19
Production & Innovation7.246.91−0.33115
Trade & Investment8.097.60−0.49413

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2007: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 183, plus 125 carried in. Maintenance 131. Spent 45 on actions (build 45). 132 carried over.

  • BuildFoundational Education9 credits for 0.58 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTransport Infrastructure9 credits for 0.34 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance9 credits for 0.34 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption9 credits for 0.48 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure9 credits for 0.40 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −37.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 8 to 10; Financial Strength Tier 17 to 19.

The groups that moved most in 2007, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Force Generation & Mobilisation−1.700.000.00−1.74+0.04
Monetary & Currency Capability−1.570.000.00−1.58+0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.49+0.340.00−1.830.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.430.000.00−1.430.00
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration−0.990.000.00−1.00+0.01
Financial System Depth & Access−0.970.000.00−0.970.00