Round 2011
Round 15 of 30 in simulation 17 of Kenya, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.355 to 6.31.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2011 (the end of 2010) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.31 (−0.355)
- In: 6.67
- Rank by index
- 93
- In: 88
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 133
- In: 126
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.69 | 2.60 | −0.086 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 8.51 | 8.04 | −0.461 | 6 |
| National Security | 4.87 | 4.70 | −0.165 | 8 |
| Human Capital | 8.03 | 7.68 | −0.346 | 11 → 12 |
| Information & Influence | 6.94 | 6.47 | −0.472 | 10 → 11 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.64 | 7.46 | −0.181 | 14 |
| Financial Strength | 7.35 | 6.79 | −0.558 | 20 → 22 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.66 | 6.29 | −0.368 | 16 → 17 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.32 | 6.77 | −0.555 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2011: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 165, plus 126 carried in. Maintenance 117. Spent 41 on actions (build 41). 133 carried over.
- BuildEnergy Infrastructure8 credits for 0.33 levelsscripted_history
- BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure8 credits for 0.41 levelsscripted_history
- BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation8 credits for 0.51 levelsscripted_history
- BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management8 credits for 0.43 levelsscripted_history
- BuildTransport Infrastructure8 credits for 0.28 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −25.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 11 to 12; Information & Influence Tier 10 to 11; Financial Strength Tier 20 to 22; Production & Innovation Tier 16 to 17.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | −1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.02 | −0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.04 | +0.02 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.92 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.89 | −0.02 |
| Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure | −0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.80 | −0.04 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.72 | 0.00 |