Round 2017
Round 21 of 30 in simulation 17 of Kenya, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Legitimacy rupture, and the index −0.144 to 6.25.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2017 (the end of 2016) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.25 (−0.144)
- In: 6.39
- Rank by index
- 93
- In: 91
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 136
- In: 128
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.59 | 2.54 | −0.049 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 8.41 | 8.37 | −0.039 | 5 |
| National Security | 4.64 | 4.44 | −0.198 | 8 → 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.66 | 7.57 | −0.088 | 12 → 13 |
| Information & Influence | 6.41 | 6.15 | −0.258 | 11 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.88 | 7.71 | −0.169 | 13 → 14 |
| Financial Strength | 6.96 | 6.71 | −0.248 | 19 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.27 | 6.17 | −0.096 | 17 |
| Trade & Investment | 6.72 | 6.57 | −0.148 | 13 → 15 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2017: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 158, plus 128 carried in. Maintenance 111. Spent 39 on actions (build 39). 136 carried over.
- BuildTransport Infrastructure8 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
- BuildEnergy Infrastructure8 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
- BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure8 credits for 0.34 levelsscripted_history
- BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration8 credits for 0.40 levelsscripted_history
- BuildFinancial System Depth & Access8 credits for 0.39 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −11.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. National Security Tier 8 to 9; Human Capital Tier 12 to 13; Governance & Integrity Tier 13 to 14; Trade & Investment Tier 13 to 15.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.50 | −0.01 |
| Force Generation & Mobilisation | −0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.48 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.39 | −0.01 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.39 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | −0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.28 | −0.02 |
| Internal Security & Order | −0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.25 | −0.01 |