Round 2024
Round 28 of 30 in simulation 17 of Kenya, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Core disaster, and the index −0.099 to 5.56.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2024 (the end of 2023) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.56 (−0.099)
- In: 5.66
- Rank by index
- 109
- In: 108
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 139
- In: 130
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.33 | 2.39 | +0.062 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.97 | 7.78 | −0.187 | 6 |
| National Security | 4.10 | 4.03 | −0.074 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 6.98 | 6.87 | −0.117 | 13 |
| Information & Influence | 5.24 | 5.16 | −0.080 | 12 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.23 | 7.14 | −0.095 | 14 |
| Financial Strength | 5.77 | 5.64 | −0.128 | 22 → 23 |
| Production & Innovation | 5.86 | 5.79 | −0.065 | 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 5.47 | 5.27 | −0.204 | 16 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2024: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 139, plus 130 carried in. Maintenance 96. Spent 34 on actions (partner 34). 139 carried over.
- PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure7 credits for 0.40 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance7 credits for 0.47 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerNational Resilience & Crisis Management7 credits for 0.32 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerEnergy Technologies7 credits for 0.68 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.62 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Core disaster S07. −9.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 22 to 23.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +0.67 | +0.70 | 0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.63 | +0.83 | 0.00 | −0.18 | −0.02 |
| Transport Infrastructure | −0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.40 | −0.04 |
| Financial System Depth & Access | −0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.40 | −0.01 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.34 | −0.02 |
| Industrial & Sectoral Base | −0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.33 | −0.02 |