Round 2026
Round 30 of 30 in simulation 17 of Kenya, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, and the index +0.025 to 5.61.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2026 (the end of 2025) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.61 (+0.025)
- In: 5.59
- Rank by index
- 108
- In: 109
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 146
- In: 134
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.46 | 2.52 | +0.063 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.81 | 7.84 | +0.026 | 6 → 5 |
| National Security | 4.01 | 4.00 | −0.008 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 6.87 | 6.86 | −0.008 | 13 |
| Information & Influence | 5.15 | 5.14 | −0.008 | 12 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.17 | 7.20 | +0.034 | 14 |
| Financial Strength | 5.72 | 5.79 | +0.073 | 23 |
| Production & Innovation | 5.87 | 5.95 | +0.073 | 15 → 13 |
| Trade & Investment | 5.25 | 5.23 | −0.017 | 16 → 17 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2026: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 141, plus 134 carried in. Maintenance 95. Spent 35 on actions (partner 35). 146 carried over.
- PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure7 credits for 0.39 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance7 credits for 0.45 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerNational Resilience & Crisis Management7 credits for 0.31 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerEnergy Technologies7 credits for 0.65 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.58 levelsscripted_history
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 6 to 5; Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 13; Trade & Investment Tier 16 to 17.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +0.66 | +0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.58 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.45 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Communications & Digital Infrastructure | +0.39 | +0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| National Resilience & Crisis Management | +0.33 | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Health System Capability | +0.05 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |