Round 8 · simulation 23 · cycle-003.e4-lka

Round 2004

Round 8 of 30 in simulation 23 of Sri Lanka, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Core disaster, and the index −0.275 to 8.02.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2004 (the end of 2003) and as it left it.

Capability index
8.02 (−0.275)
In: 8.30
Rank by index
69
In: 65
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
42
In: 21
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.583.58−0.00610
Strategic Infrastructure9.118.66−0.4427
National Security6.696.59−0.0967
Human Capital10.2710.05−0.2206
Information & Influence8.368.19−0.1699
Governance & Integrity8.878.64−0.22414 → 15
Financial Strength9.148.63−0.51017 → 18
Production & Innovation8.628.25−0.37013 → 14
Trade & Investment10.059.61−0.4427

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2004: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 204, plus 21 carried in. Maintenance 163. Spent 20 on actions (partner 20). 42 carried over.

  • PartnerTransport Infrastructure4 credits for 0.21 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerWater, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure4 credits for 0.20 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerNational Resilience & Crisis Management4 credits for 0.19 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerHealth System Capability4 credits for 0.20 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics4 credits for 0.37 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Core disaster S07. −20.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 14 to 15; Financial Strength Tier 17 to 18; Production & Innovation Tier 13 to 14.

The groups that moved most in 2004, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Financial System Depth & Access−0.810.000.00−0.810.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.790.000.00−0.790.00
Social Infrastructure−0.740.000.00−0.740.00
Industrial & Sectoral Base−0.65+0.060.00−0.710.00
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure−0.61+0.130.00−0.740.00
Transport Infrastructure−0.60+0.140.00−0.740.00