Round 26 · simulation 23 · cycle-003.e4-lka

Round 2022

Round 26 of 30 in simulation 23 of Sri Lanka, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 10 actions, Global funding seizure and Legitimacy rupture, and the index −0.695 to 7.11.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2022 (the end of 2021) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.11 (−0.695)
In: 7.80
Rank by index
80
In: 70
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
46
In: 72
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.333.11−0.22011 → 12
Strategic Infrastructure8.818.29−0.5247
National Security7.136.85−0.2787
Human Capital9.769.38−0.3757 → 8
Information & Influence7.687.02−0.6599 → 11
Governance & Integrity8.738.08−0.64714 → 15
Financial Strength7.916.41−1.49620 → 23
Production & Innovation7.566.63−0.93315
Trade & Investment9.338.20−1.1267 → 9

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2022: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 183, plus 72 carried in. Maintenance 154. Spent 55 on actions (build 46, buy 9). 46 carried over.

  • BuildInternal Security & Order2 credits for 0.11 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance2 credits for 0.08 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildMonetary & Currency Capability2 credits for 0.10 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure2 credits for 0.07 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management2 credits for 0.10 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance9 credits for 0.40 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildMonetary & Currency Capability9 credits for 0.51 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyFinancial Stability & Crisis Management9 credits for 0.45 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management9 credits for 0.49 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPopulation Health9 credits for 0.50 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −32.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −14.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 11 to 12; Human Capital Tier 7 to 8; Information & Influence Tier 9 to 11; Governance & Integrity Tier 14 to 15; Financial Strength Tier 20 to 23; Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 9.

The groups that moved most in 2022, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Financial Regulation & Integrity−1.780.000.00−1.780.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.72+0.210.00−1.93−0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection−1.720.000.00−1.720.00
Financial System Depth & Access−1.710.000.00−1.710.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−1.70+0.270.00−1.970.00
Labour & Employment−1.360.000.00−1.36−0.01