Round 24 · simulation 23 · cycle-003.e4-nga

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 23 of Nigeria, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.280 to 7.72.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.72 (−0.280)
In: 8.00
Rank by index
71
In: 69
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.873.67−0.19810
Strategic Infrastructure10.089.95−0.1364
National Security6.716.58−0.1226
Human Capital8.287.99−0.28911 → 12
Information & Influence10.049.61−0.4327
Governance & Integrity9.469.32−0.13812 → 10
Financial Strength8.698.26−0.43017
Production & Innovation7.266.91−0.34415
Trade & Investment7.597.17−0.42712

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 200. Maintenance 163. Spent 37 on actions (build 37). 0 carried over. 1 action could not be paid for.

  • BuildTransport Infrastructure10 credits for 0.45 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure10 credits for 0.39 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPopulation Health10 credits for 0.63 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance7 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −20.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 11 to 12; Governance & Integrity Tier 12 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.77+0.090.00−0.87+0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.720.000.00−0.720.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.710.000.00−0.73+0.02
Labour & Employment−0.590.000.00−0.590.00
Foundational Education−0.500.000.00−0.500.00
Health System Capability−0.500.000.00−0.49−0.01