Round 2020
Round 24 of 30 in simulation 7 of Nigeria, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.281 to 7.73.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.73 (−0.281)
- In: 8.01
- Rank by index
- 71
- In: 69
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.88 | 3.68 | −0.199 | 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.12 | 9.98 | −0.139 | 4 |
| National Security | 6.69 | 6.57 | −0.122 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 8.27 | 7.98 | −0.291 | 11 → 12 |
| Information & Influence | 10.04 | 9.61 | −0.432 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 9.44 | 9.30 | −0.139 | 12 → 10 |
| Financial Strength | 8.72 | 8.29 | −0.432 | 17 → 19 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.29 | 6.95 | −0.343 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.61 | 7.18 | −0.427 | 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 200. Maintenance 164. Spent 37 on actions (build 37). 0 carried over. 1 action could not be paid for.
- BuildTransport Infrastructure10 credits for 0.45 levelsscripted_history
- BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure10 credits for 0.39 levelsscripted_history
- BuildPopulation Health10 credits for 0.63 levelsscripted_history
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance7 credits for 0.26 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −20.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 11 to 12; Governance & Integrity Tier 12 to 10; Financial Strength Tier 17 to 19.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.78 | +0.09 | 0.00 | −0.87 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.72 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.74 | +0.03 |
| Labour & Employment | −0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.59 | 0.00 |
| Foundational Education | −0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.50 | 0.00 |
| Health System Capability | −0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.49 | −0.01 |