Round 24 · simulation 29 · cycle-003.e4-per

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 29 of Peru, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 10 actions, Severe pandemic and Legitimacy rupture, and the index −0.833 to 7.25.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.25 (−0.832)
In: 8.08
Rank by index
76
In: 66
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
404
In: 419
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.273.71−0.5619 → 11
Strategic Infrastructure10.009.51−0.4924
National Security7.356.71−0.6396 → 7
Human Capital9.108.36−0.73611 → 12
Information & Influence7.716.56−1.1488 → 11
Governance & Integrity8.778.12−0.65013
Financial Strength8.807.59−1.20416 → 20
Production & Innovation7.346.46−0.87915 → 17
Trade & Investment9.438.24−1.1874 → 5

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 241, plus 419 carried in. Maintenance 172. Spent 84 on actions (build 84). 404 carried over.

  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption5 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights5 credits for 0.28 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration5 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability5 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure5 credits for 0.26 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability12 credits for 0.57 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance12 credits for 0.42 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildMonetary & Currency Capability12 credits for 0.67 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration12 credits for 0.58 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure12 credits for 0.63 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −45.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −14.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 9 to 11; National Security Tier 6 to 7; Human Capital Tier 11 to 12; Information & Influence Tier 8 to 11; Financial Strength Tier 16 to 20; Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 17; Trade & Investment Tier 4 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.90+0.140.00−2.040.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.890.000.00−1.890.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.790.000.00−1.800.00
Investment Attraction & Projection−1.610.000.00−1.610.00
Labour & Employment−1.340.000.00−1.350.00
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−1.300.000.00−1.30+0.01