Round 25 · simulation 18 · cycle-003.e4-pol

Round 2021

Round 25 of 30 in simulation 18 of Poland, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.120 to 9.99.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2021 (the end of 2020) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.99 (−0.120)
In: 10.11
Rank by index
46
In: 45
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
268
In: 244
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.376.32−0.0487
Strategic Infrastructure12.2612.07−0.1893 → 4
National Security8.127.91−0.2096
Human Capital12.0012.08+0.0775
Information & Influence9.559.24−0.3087
Governance & Integrity10.9910.84−0.14910
Financial Strength10.2110.21+0.00412
Production & Innovation10.4910.39−0.1046
Trade & Investment11.0110.86−0.1547

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2021: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 293, plus 244 carried in. Maintenance 239. Spent 31 on actions (build 31). 268 carried over.

  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management6 credits for 0.31 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability6 credits for 0.29 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration6 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies6 credits for 0.55 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.26 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −10.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 3 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2021, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Alliances & Security Cooperation−0.490.000.00−0.490.00
Intelligence & Assessment−0.490.000.00−0.490.00
Population Health+0.46+0.460.000.000.00
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations−0.450.000.00−0.450.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.420.000.00−0.420.00
Maritime Power−0.390.000.00−0.390.00