Round 8 · simulation 9 · cycle-003.e4-pol

Round 2004

Round 8 of 30 in simulation 9 of Poland, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Market access opening, and the index +0.115 to 9.97.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2004 (the end of 2003) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.97 (+0.115)
In: 9.86
Rank by index
46
In: 48
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
332
In: 285
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.666.71+0.0557
Strategic Infrastructure10.5910.77+0.1836 → 5
National Security7.887.880.0006
Human Capital11.2911.41+0.1226
Information & Influence10.0410.10+0.0567
Governance & Integrity10.8911.06+0.17411 → 10
Financial Strength10.1910.25+0.05816
Production & Innovation10.3310.48+0.1558
Trade & Investment10.8511.08+0.2308 → 7

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2004: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 298, plus 285 carried in. Maintenance 221. Spent 30 on actions (build 30). 332 carried over.

  • BuildTransport Infrastructure6 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure6 credits for 0.21 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration6 credits for 0.25 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTrade Policy & Market Access6 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildStructural Transformation & Complexity6 credits for 0.29 levelsscripted_history
  • Upside event: Market access opening S12. +20.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 6 to 5; Governance & Integrity Tier 11 to 10; Trade & Investment Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2004, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.53+0.300.00+0.230.00
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+0.48+0.260.00+0.230.00
Transport Infrastructure+0.48+0.250.00+0.230.00
Structural Transformation & Complexity+0.41+0.300.00+0.110.00
Agriculture & Food Infrastructure+0.33+0.210.00+0.110.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.250.000.00+0.23+0.03