Round 2 · simulation 22 · cycle-003.e4-rwa

Round 1998

Round 2 of 30 in simulation 22 of Rwanda, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.173 to 4.96.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 1998 (the end of 1997) and as it left it.

Capability index
4.96 (−0.173)
In: 5.14
Rank by index
120
In: 116
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
20
In: 10
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.132.09−0.04212
Strategic Infrastructure5.765.53−0.2349
National Security3.893.70−0.1978
Human Capital6.416.33−0.07414
Information & Influence5.315.21−0.10012
Governance & Integrity6.145.99−0.14918
Financial Strength6.105.82−0.27623 → 24
Production & Innovation5.134.95−0.18719
Trade & Investment5.365.06−0.29917

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 1998: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 101, plus 10 carried in. Maintenance 81. Spent 10 on actions (build 10). 20 carried over.

  • BuildInternal Security & Order2 credits for 0.12 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights2 credits for 0.12 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPopulation Health2 credits for 0.13 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildSocial Infrastructure2 credits for 0.10 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure2 credits for 0.09 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −12.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 23 to 24.

The groups that moved most in 1998, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.510.000.00−0.510.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.510.000.00−0.510.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.410.000.00−0.410.00
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment−0.410.000.00−0.410.00
Transport Infrastructure−0.400.000.00−0.400.00
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration−0.320.000.00−0.320.00