Round 24 · simulation 16 · cycle-003.e4-sgp

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 16 of Singapore, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 0 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.349 to 15.09.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
15.09 (−0.349)
In: 15.44
Rank by index
10
In: 9
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 6
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology13.7013.40−0.3052
Strategic Infrastructure15.4915.29−0.2041
National Security10.3410.14−0.1915
Human Capital18.4318.14−0.2951
Information & Influence12.2811.80−0.4855
Governance & Integrity16.3616.12−0.2411
Financial Strength17.8817.45−0.4361
Production & Innovation17.7717.35−0.4241
Trade & Investment16.7116.15−0.5581 → 2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,040. Maintenance 1,040 of the 1,071 needed, so 3 per cent of every group went unmaintained and decayed. Nothing spent on actions. 0 carried over. 15 actions could not be paid for.

  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −20.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−0.920.00−0.03−0.890.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.820.00−0.01−0.810.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.740.00−0.01−0.76+0.03
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.710.00−0.01−0.69−0.01
Labour & Employment−0.700.00−0.01−0.70+0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.570.00−0.01−0.55−0.01