Round 8 · simulation 11 · cycle-003.e4-tha

Round 2004

Round 8 of 30 in simulation 11 of Thailand, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Core disaster, and the index −0.094 to 10.17.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2004 (the end of 2003) and as it left it.

Capability index
10.17 (−0.094)
In: 10.26
Rank by index
44
In: 44
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
77
In: 67
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.975.96−0.0087
Strategic Infrastructure12.0111.93−0.0844
National Security8.358.28−0.0716
Human Capital10.6710.60−0.0699 → 8
Information & Influence9.659.56−0.0866
Governance & Integrity10.129.99−0.12210 → 11
Financial Strength12.4312.19−0.2449 → 10
Production & Innovation10.7910.59−0.1979
Trade & Investment12.3712.41+0.0345

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2004: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 338, plus 67 carried in. Maintenance 243. Spent 84 on actions (build 84). 77 carried over.

  • BuildHealth System Capability17 credits for 0.71 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildSocial Infrastructure17 credits for 0.61 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure17 credits for 0.50 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTrade Facilitation & Logistics17 credits for 0.80 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildExport Capability & Sophistication17 credits for 0.91 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Core disaster S07. −10.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 9 to 8; Governance & Integrity Tier 10 to 11; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2004, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.77+0.940.00−0.19+0.03
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.45+0.820.00−0.38+0.01
Social Infrastructure+0.41+0.640.00−0.33+0.10
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.390.000.00−0.39+0.01
Health System Capability+0.36+0.580.00−0.23+0.02
Financial System Depth & Access−0.360.000.00−0.360.00