Round 20 · simulation 3 · cycle-003.e4-tur

Round 2016

Round 20 of 30 in simulation 3 of Türkiye, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Legitimacy rupture, and the index −0.373 to 9.45.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2016 (the end of 2015) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.45 (−0.374)
In: 9.82
Rank by index
51
In: 48
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
76
In: 94
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.637.62−0.0157 → 6
Strategic Infrastructure12.1912.05−0.1464
National Security9.999.47−0.5184
Human Capital9.529.32−0.19210 → 11
Information & Influence11.4110.73−0.6845 → 6
Governance & Integrity9.699.20−0.49112
Financial Strength8.207.51−0.68917
Production & Innovation9.409.14−0.26310
Trade & Investment10.3810.02−0.3595 → 6

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2016: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 322, plus 94 carried in. Maintenance 259. Spent 80 on actions (build 80). 76 carried over.

  • BuildAir Power16 credits for 0.41 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildSensing, Timing & Navigation16 credits for 0.62 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildRobotics & Autonomous Systems16 credits for 0.66 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildSpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure16 credits for 0.49 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing16 credits for 0.60 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −28.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 6; Human Capital Tier 10 to 11; Information & Influence Tier 5 to 6; Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2016, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Force Generation & Mobilisation−1.220.000.00−1.16−0.05
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.130.000.00−1.12−0.01
Monetary & Currency Capability−1.100.000.00−1.100.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.010.000.00−1.000.00
Justice System & Fundamental Rights−0.680.000.00−0.67−0.01
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration−0.660.000.00−0.65−0.01