Round 25 · simulation 20 · cycle-003.e4-usa

Round 2021

Round 25 of 30 in simulation 20 of United States, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion and Legitimacy rupture, and the index −0.086 to 18.33.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2021 (the end of 2020) and as it left it.

Capability index
18.33 (−0.086)
In: 18.42
Rank by index
1
In: 1
Domains at Tier 1
9
In: 9
Credits carried
29,019
In: 26,536
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology19.3819.33−0.0471
Strategic Infrastructure18.1518.09−0.0611
National Security19.8219.72−0.1061
Human Capital17.3717.35−0.0161
Information & Influence18.6118.45−0.1561
Governance & Integrity17.5217.42−0.1071
Financial Strength18.5418.43−0.1121
Production & Innovation18.1718.09−0.0791
Trade & Investment18.1918.10−0.0911

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2021: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 5,116, plus 26,536 carried in. Maintenance 2,404. Spent 229 on actions (build 229). 29,019 carried over.

  • BuildSemiconductors & Advanced Computing46 credits for 0.33 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Technologies46 credits for 0.37 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTransport Infrastructure46 credits for 1.22 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability46 credits for 0.37 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAlliances & Security Cooperation46 credits for 0.58 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −3.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −3.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2021, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.290.000.00−0.290.00
Maritime Power−0.210.000.00−0.210.00
Transport Infrastructure+0.20+0.300.00−0.100.00
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations−0.190.000.00−0.190.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.180.000.00−0.14−0.04
Resource Infrastructure+0.18+0.640.00−0.090.00