Round 24 · simulation 18 · cycle-003.e4-vnm

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 18 of Vietnam, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.291 to 8.09.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
8.09 (−0.291)
In: 8.38
Rank by index
66
In: 64
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
34
In: 55
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.753.60−0.14510
Strategic Infrastructure9.529.32−0.2005
National Security6.816.66−0.1477
Human Capital9.949.63−0.3098 → 9
Information & Influence7.727.34−0.3889
Governance & Integrity8.788.54−0.24413
Financial Strength8.177.76−0.40718 → 19
Production & Innovation8.908.57−0.32710 → 12
Trade & Investment11.8711.42−0.4513 → 5

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 203, plus 55 carried in. Maintenance 173. Spent 51 on actions (build 51). 34 carried over.

  • BuildHealth System Capability10 credits for 0.47 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management10 credits for 0.50 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTechnology Adoption & Diffusion10 credits for 0.68 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGlobal Value Chain Position10 credits for 0.70 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies10 credits for 0.81 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −21.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 8 to 9; Financial Strength Tier 18 to 19; Production & Innovation Tier 10 to 12; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.860.000.00−0.85−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.770.000.00−0.770.00
Labour & Employment−0.750.000.00−0.750.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.580.000.00−0.580.00
Population Health−0.550.000.00−0.550.00
Export Capability & Sophistication−0.540.000.00−0.55+0.01