Round 3 · simulation 2 · cycle-003.e4-zaf

Round 1999

Round 3 of 30 in simulation 2 of South Africa, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, and the index +0.060 to 11.79.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 1999 (the end of 1998) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.79 (+0.060)
In: 11.72
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
148
In: 95
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.897.89+0.0017
Strategic Infrastructure13.1813.18+0.0033
National Security9.549.54+0.0014
Human Capital10.6610.660.0006
Information & Influence11.9311.94+0.0035
Governance & Integrity12.7812.78+0.0028
Financial Strength15.0215.39+0.3684 → 3
Production & Innovation11.7111.710.0008
Trade & Investment12.8212.99+0.1636 → 5

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 1999: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 444, plus 95 carried in. Maintenance 303. Spent 88 on actions (build 88). 148 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance22 credits for 0.63 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildMonetary & Currency Capability22 credits for 0.78 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFinancial Regulation & Integrity22 credits for 0.68 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTrade Policy & Market Access22 credits for 1.07 levelsscripted_history

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 4 to 3; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 1999, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.11+1.110.000.000.00
Monetary & Currency Capability+0.83+0.800.000.00+0.03
Financial Regulation & Integrity+0.71+0.710.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.65+0.650.000.000.00
Financial Stability & Crisis Management+0.020.000.000.00+0.02
Global Value Chain Position+0.020.000.000.00+0.02