Round 5 · simulation 2 · cycle-003.e4-zaf

Round 2001

Round 5 of 30 in simulation 2 of South Africa, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 3 actions, and the index +0.087 to 11.97.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2001 (the end of 2000) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.97 (+0.086)
In: 11.89
Rank by index
29
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 0
Credits carried
308
In: 185
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.927.94+0.0287
Strategic Infrastructure13.2513.33+0.0813
National Security9.549.54+0.0044
Human Capital10.7210.81+0.0956
Information & Influence11.9712.00+0.0315
Governance & Integrity12.8512.92+0.0678
Financial Strength15.7716.03+0.2602 → 1
Production & Innovation11.7611.81+0.0538
Trade & Investment13.2213.38+0.1613 → 2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2001: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 470, plus 185 carried in. Maintenance 319. Spent 27 on actions (build 27). 308 carried over.

  • BuildHealth System Capability9 credits for 0.43 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPopulation Health9 credits for 0.55 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFoundational Education9 credits for 0.65 levelsscripted_history

Earlier events still landing: +3.2 points this round.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 2 to 1; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2001, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.60+0.500.00+0.100.00
Monetary & Currency Capability+0.56+0.480.00+0.03+0.05
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.45+0.410.00+0.03+0.01
Financial Regulation & Integrity+0.43+0.410.00+0.030.00
Foundational Education+0.18+0.130.00+0.050.00
Population Health+0.16+0.110.00+0.050.00