Round 12 · simulation 2 · cycle-003.e4-zaf

Round 2008

Round 12 of 30 in simulation 2 of South Africa, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, Global funding seizure and Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.239 to 11.99.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2008 (the end of 2007) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.99 (−0.239)
In: 12.22
Rank by index
29
In: 27
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
526
In: 508
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.997.81−0.1736 → 7
Strategic Infrastructure13.9513.92−0.0262
National Security9.589.40−0.1784 → 5
Human Capital11.5911.54−0.0456
Information & Influence12.0411.71−0.3345
Governance & Integrity13.0012.75−0.2567 → 8
Financial Strength16.1815.74−0.4481
Production & Innovation12.1811.92−0.2613
Trade & Investment13.5113.08−0.4252

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2008: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 464, plus 508 carried in. Maintenance 353. Spent 93 on actions (build 93). 526 carried over.

  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure23 credits for 0.75 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTransport Infrastructure23 credits for 0.77 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure23 credits for 0.97 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base23 credits for 0.92 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −12.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −7.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 7; National Security Tier 4 to 5; Governance & Integrity Tier 7 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2008, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Investment Attraction & Projection−0.720.000.00−0.720.00
Industrial & Sectoral Base+0.68+0.970.00−0.30+0.01
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.67+1.040.00−0.370.00
Labour & Employment−0.600.000.00−0.61+0.01
Economic Output & Productivity−0.590.000.00−0.61+0.01
Transport Infrastructure+0.57+0.810.00−0.240.00