Round 6 · simulation 8 · cycle-003.e4-zaf

Round 2002

Round 6 of 30 in simulation 8 of South Africa, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 3 actions, and the index +0.072 to 12.05.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2002 (the end of 2001) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.05 (+0.072)
In: 11.97
Rank by index
29
In: 29
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
405
In: 293
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.947.97+0.0297 → 6
Strategic Infrastructure13.3413.43+0.0963 → 2
National Security9.549.55+0.0074
Human Capital10.8110.95+0.1356
Information & Influence11.9912.02+0.0305
Governance & Integrity12.9212.98+0.0678 → 7
Financial Strength16.0316.17+0.1411
Production & Innovation11.8111.87+0.0548
Trade & Investment13.3913.48+0.0902

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2002: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 475, plus 293 carried in. Maintenance 335. Spent 28 on actions (build 28). 405 carried over.

  • BuildHealth System Capability9 credits for 0.45 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPopulation Health9 credits for 0.57 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFoundational Education9 credits for 0.67 levelsscripted_history

Earlier events still landing: +3.2 points this round.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 6; Strategic Infrastructure Tier 3 to 2; Governance & Integrity Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2002, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Foundational Education+0.32+0.270.00+0.050.00
Monetary & Currency Capability+0.29+0.220.00+0.03+0.04
Population Health+0.28+0.230.00+0.050.00
Health System Capability+0.25+0.170.00+0.05+0.02
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.24+0.200.00+0.03+0.01
Financial Regulation & Integrity+0.20+0.180.00+0.030.00