Round 8 · simulation 8 · cycle-003.e4-zaf

Round 2004

Round 8 of 30 in simulation 8 of South Africa, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 3 actions, and the index +0.025 to 12.09.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2004 (the end of 2003) and as it left it.

Capability index: 12.09 (+0.025); In: 12.07
Rank by index: 28; In: 29
Domains at Tier 1: 1; In: 1
Credits carried: 544; In: 453

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	7.97	7.98	+0.003	6
Strategic Infrastructure	13.47	13.51	+0.037	2
National Security	9.56	9.57	+0.010	4
Human Capital	11.06	11.22	+0.157	6
Information & Influence	12.03	12.03	+0.002	5
Governance & Integrity	12.98	12.99	+0.003	7
Financial Strength	16.18	16.18	+0.004	1
Production & Innovation	11.87	11.88	+0.005	8
Trade & Investment	13.48	13.49	+0.006	2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2004: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 464, plus 453 carried in. Maintenance 345. Spent 28 on actions (build 28). 544 carried over.

BuildHealth System Capability9 credits for 0.43 levelsscripted_history
BuildPopulation Health9 credits for 0.55 levelsscripted_history
BuildFoundational Education9 credits for 0.64 levelsscripted_history

The groups that moved most in 2004, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Invested	Graph
Foundational Education	+0.54	+0.53	+0.01
Population Health	+0.45	+0.45	0.00
Health System Capability	+0.39	+0.35	+0.04
Financial Infrastructure	+0.11	0.00	+0.11
Social Infrastructure	+0.07	0.00	+0.07
Transport Infrastructure	+0.06	0.00	+0.06