Round 15 · simulation 8 · cycle-003.e4-zaf

Round 2011

Round 15 of 30 in simulation 8 of South Africa, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, and the index +0.046 to 12.13.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2011 (the end of 2010) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.13 (+0.046)
In: 12.08
Rank by index
28
In: 28
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
607
In: 544
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.827.83+0.0067
Strategic Infrastructure14.3914.52+0.1292
National Security9.429.41−0.0055 → 4
Human Capital11.5911.61+0.0226
Information & Influence11.6911.68−0.0045
Governance & Integrity12.7512.750.0008
Financial Strength15.7115.71+0.0022
Production & Innovation12.1712.25+0.0782
Trade & Investment13.1913.38+0.1912

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2011: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 452, plus 544 carried in. Maintenance 353. Spent 36 on actions (build 36). 607 carried over.

  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base9 credits for 0.15 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildExport Capability & Sophistication9 credits for 0.60 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAdvanced Manufacturing9 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTrade Facilitation & Logistics9 credits for 0.55 levelsscripted_history

Tiers. National Security Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2011, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.65+0.600.000.00+0.05
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.61+0.550.000.00+0.06
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.47+0.470.000.00−0.01
Industrial & Sectoral Base+0.42+0.390.000.00+0.03
Transport Infrastructure+0.36+0.380.000.00−0.02
Energy Infrastructure+0.36+0.370.000.00−0.01