Round 2015
Round 19 of 30 in simulation 8 of South Africa, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.067 to 12.16.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2015 (the end of 2014) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.16 (−0.067)
- In: 12.22
- Rank by index
- 28
- In: 27
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 644
- In: 611
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 7.85 | 7.87 | +0.023 | 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 14.65 | 14.60 | −0.048 | 2 |
| National Security | 9.40 | 9.35 | −0.051 | 4 |
| Human Capital | 11.66 | 11.59 | −0.074 | 6 |
| Information & Influence | 11.67 | 11.54 | −0.129 | 5 → 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.74 | 12.67 | −0.072 | 8 |
| Financial Strength | 15.73 | 15.61 | −0.126 | 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.38 | 12.30 | −0.079 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.93 | 13.88 | −0.049 | 2 → 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2015: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 452, plus 611 carried in. Maintenance 383. Spent 36 on actions (buy 36). 644 carried over.
- BuyEnergy Technologies9 credits for 0.68 levelsscripted_history
- BuyEnergy Infrastructure9 credits for 0.28 levelsscripted_history
- BuyWater, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure9 credits for 0.44 levelsscripted_history
- BuyResource Infrastructure9 credits for 0.35 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −6.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 6; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +0.58 | +0.68 | 0.00 | −0.11 | +0.01 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.22 | 0.00 |
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | −0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.20 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.19 | 0.00 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.19 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.18 | +0.27 | 0.00 | −0.12 | +0.03 |