Round 2026
Round 30 of 30 in simulation 8 of South Africa, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, and the index +0.007 to 11.81.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2026 (the end of 2025) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.81 (+0.008)
- In: 11.80
- Rank by index
- 30
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 764
- In: 706
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 7.74 | 7.74 | −0.003 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 14.71 | 14.71 | +0.003 | 2 |
| National Security | 9.05 | 9.04 | −0.005 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 11.34 | 11.36 | +0.021 | 7 |
| Information & Influence | 10.98 | 10.97 | −0.005 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.49 | 12.52 | +0.035 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 15.10 | 15.13 | +0.028 | 3 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.69 | 11.69 | −0.004 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.13 | 13.13 | −0.002 | 4 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2026: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 431, plus 706 carried in. Maintenance 351. Spent 22 on actions (partner 22). 764 carried over.
- PartnerDigital & AI Competence4 credits for 0.28 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure4 credits for 0.12 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption4 credits for 0.16 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerFinancial Stability & Crisis Management4 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration4 credits for 0.15 levelsscripted_history
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.28 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Financial Stability & Crisis Management | +0.17 | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption | +0.16 | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Government Effectiveness & Public Administration | +0.15 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Communications & Digital Infrastructure | +0.12 | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Health System Capability | −0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |