Round 2019
Round 23 of 30 in simulation 2 of Zimbabwe, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Core disaster and Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.435 to 5.01.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2019 (the end of 2018) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.01 (−0.434)
- In: 5.45
- Rank by index
- 120
- In: 112
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 84
- In: 58
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.67 | 2.58 | −0.090 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.19 | 6.50 | −0.691 | 7 → 8 |
| National Security | 4.40 | 4.19 | −0.212 | 8 |
| Human Capital | 7.43 | 6.93 | −0.502 | 13 |
| Information & Influence | 4.59 | 4.25 | −0.338 | 14 |
| Governance & Integrity | 6.65 | 6.29 | −0.357 | 17 |
| Financial Strength | 5.07 | 4.42 | −0.645 | 25 → 27 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.05 | 5.52 | −0.529 | 16 → 17 |
| Trade & Investment | 4.99 | 4.44 | −0.549 | 17 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2019: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 132, plus 58 carried in. Maintenance 93. Spent 13 on actions (build 3, buy 11). 84 carried over.
- BuyInvestment Attraction & Projection3 credits for 0.21 levelsscripted_history
- BuyResource Infrastructure3 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
- BuyAgriculture & Food Infrastructure3 credits for 0.13 levelsscripted_history
- BuildMonetary & Currency Capability3 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
- BuyDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks3 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Core disaster S07. −12.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −19.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 7 to 8; Financial Strength Tier 25 to 27; Production & Innovation Tier 16 to 17.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure | −1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.08 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −1.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.06 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.06 | +0.01 |
| Financial System Depth & Access | −0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.97 | 0.00 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.94 | 0.00 |
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | −0.93 | +0.25 | 0.00 | −1.18 | 0.00 |