Round 2020
Round 24 of 30 in simulation 2 of Zimbabwe, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.165 to 4.85.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 4.85 (−0.165)
- In: 5.01
- Rank by index
- 123
- In: 120
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 102
- In: 80
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.58 | 2.45 | −0.123 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.50 | 6.42 | −0.078 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.19 | 4.10 | −0.092 | 8 → 9 |
| Human Capital | 6.93 | 6.69 | −0.236 | 13 → 14 |
| Information & Influence | 4.25 | 4.09 | −0.161 | 14 |
| Governance & Integrity | 6.29 | 6.15 | −0.145 | 17 |
| Financial Strength | 4.42 | 4.21 | −0.208 | 27 → 30 |
| Production & Innovation | 5.52 | 5.29 | −0.231 | 17 |
| Trade & Investment | 4.44 | 4.23 | −0.209 | 17 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 120, plus 80 carried in. Maintenance 84. Spent 13 on actions (build 3, buy 11). 102 carried over.
- BuyInvestment Attraction & Projection3 credits for 0.21 levelsscripted_history
- BuyResource Infrastructure3 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
- BuyAgriculture & Food Infrastructure3 credits for 0.14 levelsscripted_history
- BuildMonetary & Currency Capability3 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
- BuyDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks3 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −12.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. National Security Tier 8 to 9; Human Capital Tier 13 to 14; Financial Strength Tier 27 to 30.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.38 | −0.05 |
| Foundational Education | −0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.42 | +0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.37 | +0.01 |
| Health System Capability | −0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.36 | +0.01 |
| Labour & Employment | −0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.31 | −0.03 |
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | −0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.31 | 0.00 |