Round 6 · simulation 4 · cycle-003.e4-zwe

Round 2002

Round 6 of 30 in simulation 4 of Zimbabwe, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 3 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.486 to 6.14.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2002 (the end of 2001) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.14 (−0.486)
In: 6.63
Rank by index
95
In: 90
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.173.00−0.16512
Strategic Infrastructure8.517.81−0.7027 → 8
National Security5.315.10−0.2077 → 8
Human Capital8.748.26−0.48712
Information & Influence6.285.72−0.56111
Governance & Integrity7.457.08−0.37316
Financial Strength6.465.84−0.62223 → 25
Production & Innovation6.886.36−0.52115 → 16
Trade & Investment6.856.11−0.73914 → 15

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2002: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 136. Maintenance 120. Spent 15 on actions (build 15). 0 carried over. 1 action could not be paid for.

  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure7 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildLand Power7 credits for 0.22 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation2 credits for 0.11 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −29.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 7 to 8; National Security Tier 7 to 8; Financial Strength Tier 23 to 25; Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 16; Trade & Investment Tier 14 to 15.

The groups that moved most in 2002, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.370.000.00−1.33−0.04
Agriculture & Food Infrastructure−1.17+0.130.00−1.27−0.03
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure−1.080.000.00−1.05−0.03
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks−1.030.000.00−1.01−0.02
Energy Infrastructure−0.940.000.00−0.91−0.02
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.90+0.120.00−1.01−0.01