Round 2024
Round 28 of 30 in simulation 4 of Zimbabwe, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.307 to 4.51.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2024 (the end of 2023) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 4.51 (−0.307)
- In: 4.82
- Rank by index
- 132
- In: 123
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 177
- In: 153
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.44 | 2.35 | −0.097 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.37 | 5.87 | −0.494 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.04 | 3.88 | −0.155 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 6.59 | 6.23 | −0.362 | 14 |
| Information & Influence | 4.10 | 3.77 | −0.331 | 15 |
| Governance & Integrity | 6.16 | 5.90 | −0.260 | 17 |
| Financial Strength | 4.28 | 3.91 | −0.372 | 30 → 33 |
| Production & Innovation | 5.19 | 4.86 | −0.331 | 17 → 18 |
| Trade & Investment | 4.19 | 3.83 | −0.360 | 17 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2024: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 115, plus 153 carried in. Maintenance 80. Spent 12 on actions (build 12). 177 carried over.
- BuildResource Infrastructure2 credits for 0.10 levelsscripted_history
- BuildEnergy Infrastructure2 credits for 0.11 levelsscripted_history
- BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure2 credits for 0.08 levelsscripted_history
- BuildMonetary & Currency Capability2 credits for 0.14 levelsscripted_history
- BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration2 credits for 0.13 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −21.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 30 to 33; Production & Innovation Tier 17 to 18.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | −1.08 | +0.06 | 0.00 | −1.09 | −0.06 |
| Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure | −0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.63 | −0.06 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.66 | −0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.55 | −0.05 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.59 | −0.01 |
| Early Childhood Development | −0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.55 | −0.04 |