Round 4 · simulation 2 · mcts-dev.dev-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2030

Round 4 of 4 in simulation 2 of Estonia, greedy, 4 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.137 to 11.57.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.57 (+0.137)
In: 11.44
Rank by index
32
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
82
In: 61
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.588.13+0.5496 → 5
Strategic Infrastructure10.4310.42−0.0055
National Security7.377.37+0.0076
Human Capital14.2814.28−0.0033
Information & Influence10.4810.89+0.4066
Governance & Integrity15.2415.24−0.0014
Financial Strength12.6212.62+0.0019
Production & Innovation12.6412.79+0.1435
Trade & Investment12.2712.41+0.1417 → 6

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 344, plus 61 carried in. Maintenance 238. Spent 86 on actions (buy 86). 82 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing17 credits for 1.31 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Energy Technologies by 13 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies17 credits for 1.64 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 1 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity17 credits for 1.05 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance17 credits for 1.66 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 1 per cent
  • BuySpace Technologies17 credits for 1.12 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Space Technologies+1.79+1.790.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.70+1.660.000.00+0.04
Energy Technologies+1.64+1.640.000.00−0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.31+1.310.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+1.03+1.050.000.00−0.02
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.86+0.880.000.00−0.01