Round 2 · simulation 1 · mcts-dev.dev-est-mcts-index

Round 2028

Round 2 of 4 in simulation 1 of Estonia, tree search, 4 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.081 to 11.66.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.66 (+0.080)
In: 11.58
Rank by index
32
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
48
In: 24
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.446.95+0.5167 → 6
Strategic Infrastructure10.8610.860.0005
National Security7.547.540.0006
Human Capital14.5614.560.0003
Information & Influence10.7910.79+0.0026
Governance & Integrity15.4615.46+0.0013
Financial Strength13.1313.18+0.0528
Production & Innovation12.8112.97+0.1595
Trade & Investment12.6012.600.0006

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2028: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 350, plus 24 carried in. Maintenance 239. Spent 87 on actions (build 17, buy 52, partner 17). 48 carried over.

  • BuildSemiconductors & Advanced Computing17 credits for 0.79 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies17 credits for 1.43 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence17 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies17 credits for 1.80 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity17 credits for 1.11 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2028, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.80+1.800.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+1.64+1.640.000.000.00
Space Technologies+1.45+1.450.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+1.11+1.110.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.30+0.300.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.26+0.260.000.000.00