Round 3 · simulation 1 · mcts-dev.dev-est-mcts-index

Round 2029

Round 3 of 4 in simulation 1 of Estonia, tree search, 4 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.095 to 11.75.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.75 (+0.096)
In: 11.66
Rank by index
30
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
77
In: 45
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.957.58+0.6306
Strategic Infrastructure10.8610.86+0.0025
National Security7.547.54+0.0016
Human Capital14.5614.560.0003
Information & Influence10.7910.80+0.0076
Governance & Integrity15.4615.460.0003
Financial Strength13.1813.22+0.0388
Production & Innovation12.9712.99+0.0225
Trade & Investment12.6012.75+0.1576

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 363, plus 45 carried in. Maintenance 244. Spent 88 on actions (build 18, buy 35, partner 35). 77 carried over.

  • BuildSemiconductors & Advanced Computing18 credits for 0.78 levelsmcts
  • PartnerSpace Technologies18 credits for 1.34 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing18 credits for 1.78 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation18 credits for 1.84 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access18 credits for 1.73 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.92+1.840.000.00+0.08
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.78+1.780.000.000.00
Space Technologies+1.38+1.380.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.86+0.860.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.550.000.000.00+0.55
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.53+0.530.000.000.00