Round 2028
Round 2 of 4 in simulation 2 of Estonia, tree search, 4 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.237 to 11.34.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.34 (−0.238)
- In: 11.58
- Rank by index
- 34
- In: 32
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 48
- In: 24
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.44 | 6.88 | +0.437 | 7 → 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.86 | 10.43 | −0.431 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.54 | 7.37 | −0.175 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.56 | 14.28 | −0.272 | 3 |
| Information & Influence | 10.79 | 10.37 | −0.423 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.46 | 15.25 | −0.210 | 3 → 4 |
| Financial Strength | 13.13 | 12.71 | −0.414 | 8 → 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.81 | 12.63 | −0.180 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.60 | 12.13 | −0.467 | 6 → 8 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2028: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 350, plus 24 carried in. Maintenance 239. Spent 87 on actions (buy 69, partner 17). 48 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing17 credits for 1.61 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- PartnerSpace Technologies17 credits for 1.43 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence17 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEnergy Technologies17 credits for 1.80 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity17 credits for 1.11 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −23.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 6; Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 4; Financial Strength Tier 8 to 9; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.45 | +1.64 | 0.00 | −0.20 | 0.00 |
| Energy Technologies | +1.42 | +1.80 | 0.00 | −0.39 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.38 | +1.61 | 0.00 | −0.23 | 0.00 |
| Space Technologies | +1.24 | +1.45 | 0.00 | −0.20 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.81 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.76 | +1.11 | 0.00 | −0.35 | 0.00 |