Round 12 · simulation 12 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-greedy-marginal

Round 2038

Round 12 of 20 in simulation 12 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.118 to 12.91.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.91 (+0.118)
In: 12.79
Rank by index
22
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
103
In: 86
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.2910.46+0.1705
Strategic Infrastructure13.8213.84+0.0253
National Security9.359.36+0.0125
Human Capital15.7715.87+0.0941
Information & Influence13.2413.42+0.1834 → 3
Governance & Integrity12.0612.06+0.0049
Financial Strength13.5413.62+0.0738
Production & Innovation12.9913.02+0.0304 → 3
Trade & Investment14.0914.56+0.4703

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 451, plus 86 carried in. Maintenance 325. Spent 109 on actions (build 22, buy 22, partner 66). 103 carried over.

  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication22 credits for 1.58 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 0 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position22 credits for 1.57 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics22 credits for 1.56 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Foundational Education by 0 per cent
  • BuildFoundational Education22 credits for 1.11 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 1 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing22 credits for 1.48 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 4 to 3; Production & Innovation Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.48+1.480.000.00+0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.87+0.870.000.000.00
Digital & Services Trade+0.87+0.820.000.00+0.04
Global Value Chain Position+0.81+0.790.000.00+0.03
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.79+0.790.000.000.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.78+0.780.000.000.00