Round 16 · simulation 12 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-greedy-marginal

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 12 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.007 to 13.14.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.14 (−0.007)
In: 13.14
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
48
In: 101
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.2111.19−0.0135
Strategic Infrastructure13.8813.91+0.0263
National Security9.409.42+0.0175
Human Capital16.1716.170.0001
Information & Influence13.8513.71−0.1423
Governance & Integrity12.0612.02−0.0409
Financial Strength13.4913.59+0.0968
Production & Innovation13.1212.97−0.1473
Trade & Investment15.1115.24+0.1393 → 4

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 409, plus 101 carried in. Maintenance 346. Spent 117 on actions (buy 70, partner 47). 48 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing23 credits for 1.41 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & Services Trade by 1 per cent
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade23 credits for 1.65 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power by 1 per cent
  • BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power23 credits for 1.59 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication23 credits for 1.52 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Communications & Digital Infrastructure by 0 per cent
  • BuyCommunications & Digital Infrastructure23 credits for 1.31 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 0 per cent

Earlier events still landing: −8.8 points this round.

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power+1.44+1.590.00−0.150.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.23+1.410.00−0.19+0.01
Foundational Education+0.61+0.670.00−0.08+0.02
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.60+0.650.00−0.07+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.59+0.760.00−0.170.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.55+0.720.00−0.170.00