Round 17 · simulation 12 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-greedy-marginal

Round 2043

Round 17 of 20 in simulation 12 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.013 to 13.12.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.12 (−0.013)
In: 13.14
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
4
In: 45
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.1911.32+0.1285
Strategic Infrastructure13.9113.92+0.0103
National Security9.429.43+0.0145
Human Capital16.1716.14−0.0281
Information & Influence13.7113.66−0.0483
Governance & Integrity12.0211.98−0.0419
Financial Strength13.5913.47−0.1188
Production & Innovation12.9712.82−0.1533 → 4
Trade & Investment15.2415.36+0.1194 → 3

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2043: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 406, plus 45 carried in. Maintenance 345. Spent 102 on actions (buy 41, partner 61). 4 carried over.

  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation21 credits for 1.31 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence21 credits for 1.37 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access21 credits for 1.27 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 0 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing21 credits for 1.46 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance21 credits for 0.67 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 1 per cent

Earlier events still landing: −8.8 points this round.

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 3 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2043, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.33+1.460.00−0.14+0.02
Artificial Intelligence+1.03+1.370.00−0.340.00
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.59+0.650.00−0.07+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.57+0.760.00−0.17−0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.51+0.660.00−0.150.00
Digital & Services Trade+0.49+0.820.00−0.34+0.01