Round 18 · simulation 12 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-greedy-marginal

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 12 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.123 to 13.25.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.25 (+0.123)
In: 13.12
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
11
In: 3
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.3211.63+0.3135 → 4
Strategic Infrastructure13.9213.92+0.0043
National Security9.439.44+0.0095
Human Capital16.1416.20+0.0551
Information & Influence13.6613.78+0.1223 → 2
Governance & Integrity11.9812.04+0.0609
Financial Strength13.4713.53+0.0558
Production & Innovation12.8213.02+0.1984 → 2
Trade & Investment15.3615.65+0.2903 → 2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 459, plus 3 carried in. Maintenance 349. Spent 102 on actions (buy 61, partner 41). 11 carried over.

  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation20 credits for 1.46 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies20 credits for 1.41 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 0 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position20 credits for 1.35 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion20 credits for 1.33 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics20 credits for 1.36 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 5 to 4; Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2; Production & Innovation Tier 4 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.46+1.460.000.000.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.41+1.410.000.00+0.01
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.36+1.330.000.00+0.03
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.68+0.680.000.000.00
Global Value Chain Position+0.68+0.680.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.66+0.660.000.000.00